It looks like a lot of rain will be coming our way this year. CONAGUA, Mexico’s National Water Commission is forecasting 19 storms this season for the Mexican Pacific. Hurricane season begins May 15th and ends November 30th. The 19 storms predicted for 2015 is a number that exceeds the historical average of 14 for the Pacific Coast.
CONAGUA predicts 8 tropical storms, 7 moderate hurricanes (CAT 1 or CAT 2) and 4 major hurricanes (CAT 3 or higher) for the Pacific.
Some of the first few names for the 2015 tropical storms include Andres, Blanca, Carlos, Dolores, Enrique, Felicia, Guillermo, Hilda and Ignacio, among others.
Meanwhile, for the Atlantic Coast, comprising of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea, CONAGUA predicts seven cyclones, of which four tropical storms are forecasted and three hurricanes. This is below the historical average of 11 for this region.
One cannot forget the widespread damage that was caused to Baja Calfiornia Sur last year during Hurricane Odile. Odile was one of the most intense landfalling tropical cyclone on the Baja California peninsula ever.
Odile developed into a tropical depression south of Mexico on September 10, 2014 and quickly reached tropical storm strength. After meandering for several days, Odile began to track northwestward, intensifying to hurricane status before rapidly reaching its Category 4 hurricane peak intensity on September 14 and making landfall.
Please remember that these are just projections by CONAGUA, so the number of actual storms and intensity will vary.